12528 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | THAI VINH |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400520 |
| Short ID | 942777 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,475 SF |
| Land SF | 6,181 SF |
| Acres | 0.142 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 13 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $97,271 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $97,271 |
| Improvement | $349,896 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $349,896 |
| Market | $447,167 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $447,167 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $447,167 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$89,433 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $357,734 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +158.0% from $173,337 (2024) to $447,167 (2025), a CAGR of 158.0% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $7,880. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 22% of market value ($97,271 land vs $349,896 improvements), about $16/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +158.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $51,093,082 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,484. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,475 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,413 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,062 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 129 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,321.70 | $3,321.70 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,874.59 | $1,874.59 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,344.53 | $1,344.53 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $457.20 | $457.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $422.21 | $422.21 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,420.23 | $7,420.23 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $434,013 | $447,167 | -2.9% |
| Assessed Value | $434,013 | $447,167 | -2.9% |
| Land Value | $103,937 | $97,271 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $330,076 | $349,896 | -5.7% |
| Taxable Value | $347,210 | $357,734 | -2.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$7,648
Estimated
|
~$7,420
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $434,013 | $434,013 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $347,210 | $347,210 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $434,013 | $103,937 | $330,076 | — | $434,013 | $347,210 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $447,167 | $97,271 | $349,896 | — | $447,167 | $357,734 | ~$7,420 | Partial |
| 2024 | $173,337 | — | — | −$93,337 | $80,000 | $— | $6,330 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $80,000 | $— | $2,823 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $50,000 | $— | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | $15,000 | $— | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.9% | -2.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +19.8% | +19.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +169.2% ! | +169.2% | ~100% | 1.7000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +177.3% ! | +177.3% | ~100% | 2.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2881.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -2.9% | +77.5% | +159.5% | +158.0% | 2025 | -2.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 82.1% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 46.2% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6600% | 1.6600% | — | 1.6600% | 2025 | 1.6600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,420 | $6,875 | ~$11,964 | $7,420 | 2025 | $6,330 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,153,581 | ~$491,884 | ~2.1366% | ~$10,510 | +158.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,975,957 | ~$541,072 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,203 | +565.5% |
| 2028 | ~$7,677,241 | ~$595,179 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,930 | +1616.9% |
| 2029 | ~$19,805,400 | ~$654,697 | ~1.9384% | ~$12,691 | +4329.1% |
| 2030 | ~$51,093,082 | ~$720,167 | ~1.8723% | ~$13,484 | +11326.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,144,638 | ~$491,884 | ~2.2027% | ~$10,835 | +156.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,929,993 | ~$541,072 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,918 | +555.2% |
| 2028 | ~$7,500,064 | ~$595,179 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,110 | +1577.2% |
| 2029 | ~$19,198,327 | ~$654,697 | ~2.2027% | ~$14,421 | +4193.3% |
| 2030 | ~$49,143,013 | ~$720,167 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,863 | +10889.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,162,525 | ~$491,884 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,347 | +160.0% |
| 2027 | ~$3,022,279 | ~$541,072 | ~2.0045% | ~$10,846 | +575.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,857,186 | ~$595,179 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,340 | +1657.1% |
| 2029 | ~$20,426,759 | ~$654,697 | ~1.8062% | ~$11,825 | +4468.0% |
| 2030 | ~$53,104,570 | ~$720,167 | ~1.7071% | ~$12,294 | +11775.8% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.