15123 BOIS D ARC RD 78653
| Owner | MARQUEZ JUANA C |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0252850102 |
| Short ID | 904606 |
| Type | Mobile Home |
| Use Code | 12 Mobile Home — Double (PP) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,848 SF |
| Land SF | 87,294 SF |
| Acres | 2.004 |
| Year Built | 2014 |
| Legal | LOT 3 BLK A MARQUEZ SUBD |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $262,499 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $262,499 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $399,990 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $399,990 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$71,670 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $328,320 |
| Taxable Value | $328,320 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1230.6% from $30,060 (2021) to $399,990 (2025), a CAGR of 91.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,289. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($328,320) is $71,670 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 66% of market value ($262,499 land vs $0 improvements), about $3/SF of land. Land and improvements both carry meaningful weight; value is balanced between the structure and its site.
Submarket Position: At $399,990, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +91.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $10,165,397 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $3,841. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,848 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 904606 | ZAMARRIPA JUAN FRANCISCO LARA & | 15123 BOIS D ARC RD 78653 | $250,366 | $228,995 | $228,995 |
| 975697 | MARQUEZ JUANA C | 15123 BOIS D ARC RD MANOR 78653 | $134,054 | $134,054 | $134,054 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,233.97 | $1,233.97 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $387.49 | $387.49 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $339.49 | $339.49 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $328.32 | $328.32 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6021% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $2,289.27 | $2,289.27 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $384,420 | $399,990 | -3.9% |
| Assessed Value | $363,049 | $328,320 | +10.6% |
| Land Value | $250,366 | $262,499 | -4.6% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $363,049 | $328,320 | +10.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$21,371 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,531
Estimated
|
~$2,289
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $384,420 | $384,420 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $363,049 | $363,049 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $384,420 | $250,366 | — | −$21,371 | $363,049 | $363,049 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $399,990 | $262,499 | — | −$71,670 | $328,320 | $328,320 | ~$2,289 | Partial |
| 2024 | $99,746 | — | — | — | $262,499 ! | $— | $1,040 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $132,520 | $— | $798 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $132,520 | $— | $816 | Verified |
| 2021 | $30,060 | — | — | — | $90,667 ! | $— | $611 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.5% | -2.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -3.6% | +14.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +43.0% | +20.0% | 83.9% | 0.2600% | Verified |
| 2023 | -24.7% | -24.7% | ~100% | 0.3400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +46.2% | +46.2% | ~100% | 0.6200% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.0300% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +51.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.9% | +176.3% | +92.5% | +301.0% | 2025 | -3.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 94.4% | 185.3% | — | 301.6% | 2021 | 82.1% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7000% | 0.7000% | — | 0.7000% | 2025 | 0.7000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,289 | $1,313 | ~$3,157 | $2,289 | 2025 | $611 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$763,949 | ~$361,152 | ~0.7031% | ~$2,539 | +91.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,459,080 | ~$397,267 | ~0.7089% | ~$2,816 | +264.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,786,726 | ~$436,994 | ~0.7147% | ~$3,123 | +596.7% |
| 2029 | ~$5,322,422 | ~$480,693 | ~0.7206% | ~$3,464 | +1230.6% |
| 2030 | ~$10,165,397 | ~$528,763 | ~0.7264% | ~$3,841 | +2441.4% |
| 2026 | ~$755,949 | ~$361,152 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,518 | +89.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,428,682 | ~$397,267 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,770 | +257.2% |
| 2028 | ~$2,700,095 | ~$436,994 | ~0.6973% | ~$3,047 | +575.0% |
| 2029 | ~$5,102,961 | ~$480,693 | ~0.6973% | ~$3,352 | +1175.8% |
| 2030 | ~$9,644,185 | ~$528,763 | ~0.6973% | ~$3,687 | +2311.1% |
| 2026 | ~$771,948 | ~$361,152 | ~0.7060% | ~$2,550 | +93.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,489,798 | ~$397,267 | ~0.7147% | ~$2,839 | +272.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,875,191 | ~$436,994 | ~0.7235% | ~$3,162 | +618.8% |
| 2029 | ~$5,548,886 | ~$480,693 | ~0.7322% | ~$3,520 | +1287.3% |
| 2030 | ~$10,708,903 | ~$528,763 | ~0.7409% | ~$3,918 | +2577.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $399,990 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 5× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $399,990 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $99,746 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $30,060 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.