18900 ELK HORN DR TX 78653
| Owner | MANILLA JASON & ALDEA MANILLA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0274650125 |
| Short ID | 906740 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,577 SF |
| Land SF | 8,755 SF |
| Acres | 0.201 |
| Year Built | 2020 |
| Legal | LOT 40 BLK L VERONA SEC 3 |
| Neighborhood | A9740 |
| Land | $42,085 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $42,085 |
| Improvement | $460,016 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $460,016 |
| Market | $502,101 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $502,101 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $502,101 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$100,420 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $401,681 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1394.3% from $33,600 (2021) to $502,101 (2025), a CAGR of 96.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2285% in 2025 (+0.0325% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,952. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 43.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 8% of market value ($42,085 land vs $460,016 improvements), about $5/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~6 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +96.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $14,752,168 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $15,949. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,577 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,472 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,105 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 746 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 162 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 369% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $4,008.10 | $4,008.10 | Paid |
| CPF City of Pflugerville | 0.4863% | 0.4813% | 0.5362% | 0.5428% | 0.5350% | -0.0078% | $2,686.24 | $2,686.24 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,509.70 | $1,509.70 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $474.08 | $474.08 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $465.77 | $465.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4335% | 2.2428% | 2.1280% | 2.1960% | 2.2285% | +0.0325% | $9,143.89 | $9,143.89 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $410,321 | $502,101 | -18.3% |
| Assessed Value | $410,321 | $502,101 | -18.3% |
| Land Value | $105,020 | $42,085 | +149.5% |
| Improvement Value | $305,301 | $460,016 | -33.6% |
| Taxable Value | $328,257 | $401,681 | -18.3% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$7,315
Estimated
|
~$9,144
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $456,877 | $410,321 | -46,556 (-10.2%) |
| Taxable Value | $365,502 | $328,257 | -37,245 (-10.2%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $410,321 | $105,020 | $305,301 | — | $410,321 | $328,257 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $502,101 | $42,085 | $460,016 | — | $502,101 | $401,681 | ~$9,144 | Partial |
| 2024 | $578,482 | — | — | −$536,482 | $42,000 | $— | $8,564 | Verified |
| 2023 | $488,415 | — | — | −$446,415 | $42,000 | $— | $9,888 | Verified |
| 2022 | $115,804 | — | — | −$73,804 | $42,000 | $— | $10,041 | Verified |
| 2021 | $33,600 | — | — | — | $42,000 ! | $— | $2,818 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.0% | -9.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +2.2% | +2.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -15.1% | -8.6% | ~100% | 1.7400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +6.6% | -1.0% | 92.9% | 1.7100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +368.6% ! | +368.6% | ~100% | 1.8500% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 8.3900% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +333.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -18.3% | +110.7% | +105.4% | +321.8% | 2023 | -18.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 62.9% | — | 125.0% | 2021 | 7.3% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.8200% | 1.8200% | — | 1.8200% | 2025 | 1.8200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$9,144 | $8,091 | ~$13,927 | $10,041 | 2022 | $2,818 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$987,197 | ~$552,311 | ~2.1773% | ~$12,025 | +96.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,940,962 | ~$607,542 | ~2.1261% | ~$12,917 | +286.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,816,190 | ~$668,296 | ~2.0748% | ~$13,866 | +660.0% |
| 2029 | ~$7,503,137 | ~$735,126 | ~2.0236% | ~$14,876 | +1394.3% |
| 2030 | ~$14,752,168 | ~$808,639 | ~1.9724% | ~$15,949 | +2838.1% |
| 2026 | ~$977,155 | ~$552,311 | ~2.2285% | ~$12,308 | +94.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,901,675 | ~$607,542 | ~2.2285% | ~$13,539 | +278.7% |
| 2028 | ~$3,700,913 | ~$668,296 | ~2.2285% | ~$14,893 | +637.1% |
| 2029 | ~$7,202,469 | ~$735,126 | ~2.2285% | ~$16,383 | +1334.5% |
| 2030 | ~$14,016,964 | ~$808,639 | ~2.2285% | ~$18,021 | +2691.7% |
| 2026 | ~$997,240 | ~$552,311 | ~2.1517% | ~$11,884 | +98.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,980,651 | ~$607,542 | ~2.0748% | ~$12,605 | +294.5% |
| 2028 | ~$3,933,836 | ~$668,296 | ~1.9980% | ~$13,352 | +683.5% |
| 2029 | ~$7,813,122 | ~$735,126 | ~1.9211% | ~$14,123 | +1456.1% |
| 2030 | ~$15,517,902 | ~$808,639 | ~1.8443% | ~$14,913 | +2990.6% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.