19300 COLGIN DR DR TX
| Owner | SAXTON JESSICA L & RICHARD M |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0274670301 |
| Short ID | 927181 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,955 SF |
| Land SF | 7,540 SF |
| Acres | 0.173 |
| Year Built | 2020 |
| Legal | LOT 1 BLK C VINE CREEK PHS 1 FINAL PLAT OF |
| Neighborhood | A9740 |
| Land | $41,725 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $41,725 |
| Improvement | $344,546 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $344,546 |
| Market | $386,271 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $386,271 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $386,271 |
| Taxable Value | $386,271 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1187.6% from $30,000 (2021) to $386,271 (2025), a CAGR of 89.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 11% of market value ($41,725 land vs $344,546 improvements), about $6/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~6 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +89.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $9,421,188 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,955 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,955 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 452 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 122 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 280% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $385,285 | $386,271 | -0.3% |
| Assessed Value | $385,285 | $386,271 | -0.3% |
| Land Value | $100,161 | $41,725 | +140.1% |
| Improvement Value | $285,124 | $344,546 | -17.2% |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | V4 | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $385,285 | $385,285 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $385,285 | $100,161 | $285,124 | — | $385,285 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $386,271 | $41,725 | $344,546 | — | $386,271 | $— | not in county billing file ⓘ | Partial |
| 2024 | $511,068 | — | — | −$471,068 | $40,000 | $— | not in county billing file ⓘ | Partial |
| 2023 | $446,391 | — | — | −$406,391 | $40,000 | $— | not in county billing file ⓘ | Partial |
| 2022 | $117,400 | — | — | −$77,400 | $40,000 | $— | $348 | Verified |
| 2021 | $30,000 | — | — | — | $40,000 ! | $— | $739 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.3% | -0.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -4.6% | -4.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -20.8% | -20.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +14.5% | +14.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +280.1% ! | +280.1% | ~100% | 0.0800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.4600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +228.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -0.3% | +112.3% | +89.5% | +291.3% | 2022 | -24.4% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 64.0% | — | 133.3% | 2021 | 7.8% | 2024 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $348 | $543 | — | $739 | 2021 | $348 | 2022 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$731,703 | ~$424,898 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +89.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,386,046 | ~$467,388 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +258.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,625,550 | ~$514,127 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +579.7% |
| 2029 | ~$4,973,510 | ~$565,539 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1187.6% |
| 2030 | ~$9,421,188 | ~$622,093 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +2339.0% |
| 2026 | ~$723,978 | ~$424,898 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +87.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,356,932 | ~$467,388 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +251.3% |
| 2028 | ~$2,543,262 | ~$514,127 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +558.4% |
| 2029 | ~$4,766,769 | ~$565,539 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1134.0% |
| 2030 | ~$8,934,229 | ~$622,093 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +2212.9% |
| 2026 | ~$739,428 | ~$424,898 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +91.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,415,468 | ~$467,388 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +266.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,709,594 | ~$514,127 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +601.5% |
| 2029 | ~$5,186,903 | ~$565,539 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1242.8% |
| 2030 | ~$9,929,153 | ~$622,093 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +2470.5% |