KELLY LN TX 78660
| Owner | WIND RIVER CATTLE LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0275500120 |
| Short ID | 278078 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 5,186 SF |
| Land SF | 871,200 SF |
| Acres | 20.000 |
| Year Built | 1985 |
| Legal | ABS 277 SUR 11 FLINT E ACR 3.757 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN317 |
| Land | $1,538,127 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,538,127 |
| Improvement | $540,576 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $540,576 |
| Market | $2,078,703 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,078,703 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,484,591 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $594,112 |
| Taxable Value | $594,112 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +281.4% from $545,000 (2021) to $2,078,703 (2025), a CAGR of 39.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2285% in 2025 (+0.0325% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $13,240. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 49.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($594,112) is $1,484,591 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 74% of market value ($1,538,127 land vs $540,576 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~41-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,078,703, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +51.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $16,307,408 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $18,872. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 5,186 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,786 SF | ✗ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 2,400 SF | ✗ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 2,400 SF | ✗ |
| 011C | PORCH OPEN 1ST COMM | 407 SF | ✗ |
| 522C | FIREPLACE COMM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 604C | POOL CONC COMM | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 482 | LIGHT POLES | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278078 | WIND RIVER CATTLE LLC | 3901 KELLY LN 78660 | $1,524,684 | $669,600 | $669,600 |
| 278079 | WIND RIVER CATTLE LLC | 0.000 | $1,371,530 | $5,219 | $5,219 |
| 278080 | WIND RIVER CATTLE LLC | 0.000 | $150,280 | $31,275 | $31,275 |
Market value changed by 84% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $6,576.23 | $6,576.23 | Paid |
| CPF City of Pflugerville | 0.4863% | 0.4813% | 0.5362% | 0.5428% | 0.5350% | -0.0078% | $3,178.50 | $3,178.50 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,232.95 | $2,232.95 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $701.19 | $701.19 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $551.13 | $551.13 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4335% | 2.2428% | 2.1280% | 2.1960% | 2.2285% | +0.0325% | $13,240.00 | $13,240.00 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,046,494 | $2,078,703 | +46.6% |
| Assessed Value | $706,094 | $594,112 | +18.8% |
| Land Value | $1,539,234 | $1,538,127 | +0.1% |
| Improvement Value | $1,507,260 | $540,576 | +178.8% |
| Taxable Value | $706,094 | $594,112 | +18.8% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,340,400 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$15,736
Estimated
|
~$13,240
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,066,249 | $3,046,494 | -19,755 (-0.6%) |
| Taxable Value | $706,094 | $706,094 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,046,494 | $1,539,234 | $1,507,260 | −$2,340,400 | $706,094 | $706,094 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,078,703 | $1,538,127 | $540,576 | −$1,484,591 | $594,112 | $594,112 | ~$13,240 | Partial |
| 2024 | $693,800 | — | — | −$676,376 | $17,424 | $— | $15,508 | Verified |
| 2023 | $699,000 | — | — | −$681,576 | $17,424 | $— | $15,668 | Verified |
| 2022 | $604,000 | — | — | −$586,576 | $17,424 | $— | $16,313 | Verified |
| 2021 | $545,000 | — | — | −$527,576 | $17,424 | $— | $15,130 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 20.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 20.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -17.2% | -17.0% | 20.7% | 0.7100% | Verified |
| 2023 | +64.6% | +61.7% | 20.7% | 0.7000% | Verified |
| 2022 | -84.0% ! | +328.4% | 21.1% | 0.7300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.8% | 2.7800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -78.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +46.6% | +54.4% | +41.4% | +199.6% | 2025 | -0.7% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 23.2% | 10.5% | — | 28.6% | 2025 | 2.5% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.4600% | 0.4600% | — | 0.4600% | 2025 | 0.4600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$13,240 | $15,172 | ~$16,479 | $16,313 | 2022 | $13,240 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$3,138,419 | ~$653,523 | ~2.1773% | ~$14,229 | +51.0% |
| 2027 | ~$4,738,375 | ~$718,876 | ~2.1261% | ~$15,284 | +127.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,153,984 | ~$790,763 | ~2.0748% | ~$16,407 | +244.2% |
| 2029 | ~$10,801,062 | ~$869,839 | ~2.0236% | ~$17,602 | +419.6% |
| 2030 | ~$16,307,408 | ~$956,823 | ~1.9724% | ~$18,872 | +684.5% |
| 2026 | ~$3,096,845 | ~$653,523 | ~2.2285% | ~$14,564 | +49.0% |
| 2027 | ~$4,613,670 | ~$718,876 | ~2.2285% | ~$16,020 | +121.9% |
| 2028 | ~$6,873,431 | ~$790,763 | ~2.2285% | ~$17,622 | +230.7% |
| 2029 | ~$10,240,015 | ~$869,839 | ~2.2285% | ~$19,385 | +392.6% |
| 2030 | ~$15,255,542 | ~$956,823 | ~2.2285% | ~$21,323 | +633.9% |
| 2026 | ~$3,179,993 | ~$653,523 | ~2.1517% | ~$14,062 | +53.0% |
| 2027 | ~$4,864,743 | ~$718,876 | ~2.0748% | ~$14,915 | +134.0% |
| 2028 | ~$7,442,069 | ~$790,763 | ~1.9980% | ~$15,799 | +258.0% |
| 2029 | ~$11,384,853 | ~$869,839 | ~1.9211% | ~$16,711 | +447.7% |
| 2030 | ~$17,416,512 | ~$956,823 | ~1.8443% | ~$17,646 | +737.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,078,703 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 3× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,078,703 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $693,800 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $699,000 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $604,000 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $545,000 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.