17716 ZINFANDEL DR 78660
| Owner | WARREN ISAAC KEITH & CYNTHIA ERHI |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0276670715 |
| Short ID | 950461 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 3,224 SF |
| Land SF | 6,946 SF |
| Acres | 0.159 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 46 BLK A VINE CREEK PHS 2 |
| Neighborhood | A9740 |
| Land | $41,584 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $41,584 |
| Improvement | $399,858 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $399,858 |
| Market | $441,442 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $441,442 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $441,442 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $441,442 |
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -20.3% from $553,783 (2024) to $441,442 (2025), a CAGR of -20.3% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 9% of market value ($41,584 land vs $399,858 improvements), about $6/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -20.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $142,084 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,224 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,824 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,400 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 435 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 282 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 1631% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $509,403 | $441,442 | +15.4% |
| Assessed Value | $485,586 | $441,442 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $95,568 | $41,584 | +129.8% |
| Improvement Value | $413,835 | $399,858 | +3.5% |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$23,817 | — | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $509,403 | $509,403 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $509,403 | $95,568 | $413,835 | −$23,817 | $485,586 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $441,442 | $41,584 | $399,858 | — | $441,442 | $— | not in county billing file ⓘ | Partial |
| 2024 | $553,783 | — | — | −$513,783 | $40,000 | $— | not in county billing file ⓘ | Partial |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $40,000 | $— | $1,248 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $32,000 | $— | $684 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +15.4% | +10.0% | 95.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -3.7% | -3.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -17.2% | -17.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +1630.6% ! | +1630.6% | ~100% | 0.2300% | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.1400% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1279.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +15.4% | -2.5% | -22.4% | +15.4% | 2026 | -20.3% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 95.3% | 67.5% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 7.2% | 2024 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$351,891 | ~$351,891 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -20.3% |
| 2027 | ~$280,506 | ~$280,506 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -36.5% |
| 2028 | ~$223,602 | ~$223,602 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -49.3% |
| 2029 | ~$178,242 | ~$178,242 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -59.6% |
| 2030 | ~$142,084 | ~$142,084 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -67.8% |
| 2026 | ~$419,370 | ~$419,370 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -5.0% |
| 2027 | ~$398,401 | ~$398,401 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -9.8% |
| 2028 | ~$378,481 | ~$378,481 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -14.3% |
| 2029 | ~$359,557 | ~$359,557 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -18.5% |
| 2030 | ~$341,579 | ~$341,579 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -22.6% |
| 2026 | ~$360,719 | ~$360,719 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -18.3% |
| 2027 | ~$294,758 | ~$294,758 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -33.2% |
| 2028 | ~$240,858 | ~$240,858 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -45.4% |
| 2029 | ~$196,815 | ~$196,815 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -55.4% |
| 2030 | ~$160,825 | ~$160,825 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -63.6% |