12911 JOHNSON BAR 78610
| Owner | HERNANDEZ ISMAEL & BRENDA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455050101 |
| Short ID | 954703 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,896 SF |
| Land SF | 6,280 SF |
| Acres | 0.144 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK N LOT 6 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $63,478 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $63,478 |
| Improvement | $368,800 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $368,800 |
| Market | $432,278 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $432,278 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $432,278 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$86,456 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $345,822 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +98.6% from $217,683 (2023) to $432,278 (2025), a CAGR of 40.9% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,757. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 41.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 15% of market value ($63,478 land vs $368,800 improvements), about $10/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~5 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,402,203 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,753. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,896 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,702 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,194 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 25 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 163% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,299.75 | $1,299.75 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $441.81 | $441.81 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $432.28 | $432.28 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $432.28 | $432.28 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $408.15 | $408.15 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $5,110.33 | $5,110.33 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $407,047 | $432,278 | -5.8% |
| Assessed Value | $407,047 | $432,278 | -5.8% |
| Land Value | $63,478 | $63,478 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $343,569 | $368,800 | -6.8% |
| Taxable Value | $325,638 | $345,822 | -5.8% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,596
Estimated
|
~$5,110
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $440,384 | $407,047 | -33,337 (-7.6%) |
| Taxable Value | $352,307 | $325,638 | -26,669 (-7.6%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $407,047 | $63,478 | $343,569 | — | $407,047 | $325,638 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $432,278 | $63,478 | $368,800 | — | $432,278 | $345,822 | ~$5,110 | Partial |
| 2024 | $572,648 | — | — | −$512,648 | $60,000 | $— | $5,225 | Verified |
| 2023 | $217,683 | — | — | −$157,683 | $60,000 | $— | $5,860 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $48,000 | $— | $3,660 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.9% | +1.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -16.8% | -16.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -9.2% | -9.2% | ~100% | 1.0100% | Verified |
| 2023 | +163.1% ! | +163.1% | ~100% | 1.0200% | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.6800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +98.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -5.8% | +44.3% | +42.7% | +163.1% | 2024 | -24.5% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 59.5% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 10.5% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.1800% | 1.1800% | — | 1.1800% | 2025 | 1.1800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,110 | $5,398 | ~$4,737 | $5,860 | 2023 | $5,110 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$609,161 | ~$475,506 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,819 | +40.9% |
| 2027 | ~$858,424 | ~$523,056 | ~0.8089% | ~$4,231 | +98.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,209,682 | ~$575,362 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,688 | +179.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,704,670 | ~$632,898 | ~0.8206% | ~$5,193 | +294.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,402,203 | ~$696,188 | ~0.8264% | ~$5,753 | +455.7% |
| 2026 | ~$600,516 | ~$475,506 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,791 | +38.9% |
| 2027 | ~$834,230 | ~$523,056 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,170 | +93.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,158,904 | ~$575,362 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,587 | +168.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,609,936 | ~$632,898 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,046 | +272.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,236,506 | ~$696,188 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,550 | +417.4% |
| 2026 | ~$617,807 | ~$475,506 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,833 | +42.9% |
| 2027 | ~$882,963 | ~$523,056 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,262 | +104.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,261,921 | ~$575,362 | ~0.8235% | ~$4,738 | +191.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,803,525 | ~$632,898 | ~0.8322% | ~$5,267 | +317.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,577,578 | ~$696,188 | ~0.8409% | ~$5,854 | +496.3% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.