LUND CARLSON RD TX 78621
| Owner | MOGO LAND & CATTLE LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0659090403 |
| Short ID | 358830 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,584 SF |
| Land SF | 3,282,507 SF |
| Acres | 75.356 |
| Year Built | 1930 |
| Legal | ABS 518 SUR 65 MARTIN H ACR 74.356 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $2,732,914 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,732,914 |
| Improvement | $190,808 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $190,808 |
| Market | $2,923,722 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,923,722 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,674,122 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $249,600 |
| Taxable Value | $249,600 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2725.8% from $103,466 (2021) to $2,923,722 (2025), a CAGR of 130.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,740. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($249,600) is $2,674,122 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 93% of market value ($2,732,914 land vs $190,808 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~96-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,923,722, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +186.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $565,888,367 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $2,920. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
4 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | BARN SF | 3,540 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,584 SF | ✓ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 98 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358830 | MOGO LAND & CATTLE LLC | ABS 518 SUR 65 MARTIN H ACR 1.00 | $170,251 | $170,251 | $170,251 |
| 358831 | MOGO LAND & CATTLE LLC | 0.000 | $2,230,680 | $23,099 | $23,099 |
Market value changed by 217% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $938.11 | $938.11 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $294.58 | $294.58 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $258.09 | $258.09 | Paid |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $249.61 | $249.61 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $1,740.39 | $1,740.39 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,400,931 | $2,923,722 | -17.9% |
| Assessed Value | $193,350 | $249,600 | -22.5% |
| Land Value | $2,260,680 | $2,732,914 | -17.3% |
| Improvement Value | $140,251 | $190,808 | -26.5% |
| Taxable Value | $193,350 | $249,600 | -22.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,207,581 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,348
Estimated
|
~$1,740
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,400,931 | $2,400,931 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $193,350 | $193,350 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,400,931 | $2,260,680 | $140,251 | −$2,207,581 | $193,350 | $193,350 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,923,722 | $2,732,914 | $190,808 | −$2,674,122 | $249,600 | $249,600 | ~$1,740 | Partial |
| 2024 | $215,563 | — | — | −$65,750 | $149,813 | $— | $1,826 | Verified |
| 2023 | $215,563 | — | — | −$140,650 | $74,913 | $— | $1,440 | Verified |
| 2022 | $124,125 | — | — | −$49,212 | $74,913 | $— | $1,471 | Verified |
| 2021 | $103,466 | — | — | −$96,086 | $7,380 | $— | $997 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -17.3% | +2.5% | 1.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -0.7% | +9.0% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +217.2% ! | -9.6% | 0.8% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 0.1300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +55.9% | -1.9% | 2.7% | 0.1400% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 4.3% | 0.9600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +391.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -17.9% | +266.4% | +199.1% | +1256.3% | 2025 | -17.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 8.1% | 31.4% | — | 69.5% | 2024 | 7.1% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,740 | $1,495 | ~$2,400 | $1,826 | 2024 | $997 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$8,380,984 | ~$274,560 | ~0.7031% | ~$1,930 | +186.7% |
| 2027 | ~$24,024,478 | ~$302,016 | ~0.7089% | ~$2,141 | +721.7% |
| 2028 | ~$68,867,274 | ~$332,218 | ~0.7147% | ~$2,374 | +2255.5% |
| 2029 | ~$197,411,218 | ~$365,439 | ~0.7206% | ~$2,633 | +6652.1% |
| 2030 | ~$565,888,367 | ~$401,983 | ~0.7264% | ~$2,920 | +19255.1% |
| 2026 | ~$8,322,510 | ~$274,560 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,914 | +184.7% |
| 2027 | ~$23,690,408 | ~$302,016 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,106 | +710.3% |
| 2028 | ~$67,435,839 | ~$332,218 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,316 | +2206.5% |
| 2029 | ~$191,959,227 | ~$365,439 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,548 | +6465.6% |
| 2030 | ~$546,420,799 | ~$401,983 | ~0.6973% | ~$2,803 | +18589.2% |
| 2026 | ~$8,439,458 | ~$274,560 | ~0.7060% | ~$1,938 | +188.7% |
| 2027 | ~$24,360,886 | ~$302,016 | ~0.7147% | ~$2,159 | +733.2% |
| 2028 | ~$70,318,823 | ~$332,218 | ~0.7235% | ~$2,403 | +2305.1% |
| 2029 | ~$202,978,527 | ~$365,439 | ~0.7322% | ~$2,676 | +6842.5% |
| 2030 | ~$585,906,886 | ~$401,983 | ~0.7409% | ~$2,978 | +19939.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,923,722 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,923,722 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $215,563 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $215,563 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $124,125 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $103,466 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.