Travis County Market Snapshot

2026 Preliminary vs 2025 Certified Preliminary

Overall Residential Multi-Family Retail Industrial Office Hotel Land Agricultural Other
Stores, restaurants, shopping centers, grocery, auto dealerships, theaters — Market Snapshot's own taxonomy, see footer
2025 Total MV (Certified)
$14.96B
Verified
2026 Total MV (Preliminary)
$16.52B
Preliminary
Net Change
+$1.56B
+10.4% vs 2025
Median Parcel Change
+3.25%
3,299 ↑  528 ↓
Large Value-Jump Signals
144
parcels flagged for an unusually large value change this year
New Construction
92
parcels built 2023 or later — same cutoff as Search's New Construction filter
Retail investor takeaway: Travis County retail values show a median change of +3.25% (4,230 parcels, AJR* personal property supplements excluded). Small Store (<10,000 SF): median +2.48%, $0.90B → $1.00B. Service / Repair Garage: median +11.41%, $0.96B → $1.06B. This sector's Annual Trends card below borrows the canonical "Commercial" county benchmark (the historical data available at that granularity covers all of Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel together, not this tab alone) — treat it as sector-adjacent context, not a retail-specific trend.
2026 Preliminary vs 2025 Certified — By Property Type Preliminary
Property Type Parcels ↑ Up ↓ Down = Flat Median Δ P25 / P75 2025 Total MV 2026 Total MV Net Δ ($B)
Small Store (<10,000 SF) ↗ 679 519 66 94 +2.48% +0.10% / +7.79% $0.90B $1.00B +$0.09B
Service / Repair Garage ↗ 563 424 114 25 +11.41% +0.16% / +22.48% $0.96B $1.06B +$0.11B
Restaurant ↗ 482 377 41 64 +3.44% +0.15% / +9.82% $1.26B $1.43B +$0.17B
Convenience Store ↗ 472 402 57 13 +2.68% +0.91% / +5.54% $0.75B $0.80B +$0.05B
Strip Center (<10,000 SF) ↗ 416 317 57 42 +0.99% +0.06% / +5.35% $0.92B $0.98B +$0.06B
Fast Food Restaurant ↗ 371 289 19 63 +4.02% +0.11% / +9.17% $0.68B $0.75B +$0.06B
Strip Center (>10,000 SF) ↗ 355 288 43 24 +2.25% +0.38% / +9.82% $2.36B $2.54B +$0.18B
Other Retail ↗ 892 683 131 78 — — $7.13B $7.96B +$0.83B
All Retail 4,230 3,299 528 403 +3.25% — $14.96B $16.52B +$1.56B
Based on 2026 Preliminary TCAD Appraisal Export (June 9, 2026) vs 2025 Certified Export. Subject to change at certification (July 25, 2026). Excludes: tax-exempt accounts (X state_cd1 prefix), personal property accounts (N prefix, 3 accounts), and AJR* personal property supplement records (placeholder $1 values in certified data). M (manufactured homes) and O/G/J (other real property, minerals, utilities) are included as real property. Sector tabs (Residential/Multi-Family/Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel/Land/Agricultural/Other) use a Market-Snapshot-specific classification separate from the rest of the site's canonical property-type system, built from real TCAD use codes. "Other" combines the canonical-unclassified O/G/J parcels with any commercial-adjacent parcel whose use code doesn't cleanly sort into Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel. Within a sector, only the top 7 real subtypes by parcel count are shown individually; the rest are combined into one "Other <Sector>" row (real summed parcel counts and dollar totals, but no median/percentile — see that row's tooltip). Median Δ = median parcel-level % change; P25/P75 = 25th/75th percentiles. Red = increasing burden, green = decreasing.
Top & Bottom Moving Neighborhoods
Largest increases
FE2 +121.49% 20 parcels
83FEA +44.24% 12 parcels
84SOU +29.59% 10 parcels
83SOU +24.96% 61 parcels
1NE1 +24.83% 13 parcels
Largest decreases
83SWE -11.51% 38 parcels
83FNOR -9.09% 52 parcels
48NWE -7.23% 16 parcels
30EAS -2.17% 10 parcels
30PFL/FNE -0.78% 26 parcels
Median parcel-level YoY % change by neighborhood_cd, current sector only (4,230 parcels total). Neighborhoods with fewer than 10 qualifying parcels are excluded. Red = increasing value, green = decreasing — same convention as the table above. Click a neighborhood code to browse its parcels in Search.
Annual Trends — County Median Certified 2021–2025
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 V
Median Market Value $1,173,514 $1,190,250 $1,383,015 $1,401,787 $1,382,921
P25 / P75 $538K / $2,782K $535K / $2,842K $651K / $3,277K $647K / $3,362K $632K / $3,258K
Median Asmt. Ratio 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Median YoY Change base yr +3.3% +9.7% +0.0% -0.8%
Parcels in This Category 13,196 13,531 13,643 13,717 13,595
County-wide medians from county_benchmark table. Assessment ratio = median(assessed ÷ market) across all parcels in this category. A median ratio below ~100% is expected and common at the county level — it reflects the many parcels in this category with an active homestead or other value-limiting cap, not a data issue. YoY Change = median parcel-level year-over-year % change. Partial = AJR data. V = Certified 2025 data.
Net Value Change by Property Type, 2025→2026 ($B)
% view = aggregate value change per sector (total 2026 MV ÷ total 2025 MV − 1) — the same underlying totals as the $ view, just normalized by sector size, so it answers "what's changing fastest proportionally" rather than "which sector holds the most value."