Travis County Market Snapshot

2026 Certified vs 2025 Certified Certified

Overall Residential Multi-Family Retail Industrial Office Hotel Land Agricultural Other
Stores, restaurants, shopping centers, grocery, auto dealerships, theaters — Market Snapshot's own taxonomy, see footer
2025 Total MV (Certified)
$15.54B
Verified
2026 Total MV (Certified)
$15.87B
Certified
Net Change
+$0.34B
+2.2% vs 2025
Median Parcel Change
+0.20%
2,270 ↑  988 ↓
Large Value-Jump Signals
146
parcels flagged for an unusually large value change this year
New Construction
10
parcels built 2025 or later — same cutoff as Search's New Construction filter
Retail investor takeaway: Travis County retail values show a median change of +0.20% (4,249 parcels, AJR* personal property supplements excluded). Small Store (<10,000 SF): median +0.14%, $0.98B → $1.00B. Service / Repair Garage: median +2.76%, $1.00B → $1.00B. This sector's Annual Trends card below borrows the canonical "Commercial" county benchmark (the historical data available at that granularity covers all of Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel together, not this tab alone) — treat it as sector-adjacent context, not a retail-specific trend.
2026 Certified vs 2025 Certified — By Property Type Certified
Property Type Parcels ↑ Up ↓ Down = Flat Median Δ P25 / P75 2025 Total MV 2026 Total MV Net Δ ($B)
Small Store (<10,000 SF) ↗ 684 360 146 178 +0.14% +0.00% / +3.18% $0.98B $1.00B +$0.02B
Service / Repair Garage ↗ 567 347 139 81 +2.76% +0.00% / +14.70% $1.00B $1.00B +$0.01B
Restaurant ↗ 484 243 97 144 +0.00% +0.00% / +3.08% $1.28B $1.31B +$0.03B
Convenience Store ↗ 474 252 102 120 +0.27% +0.00% / +2.49% $0.82B $0.83B +$0.01B
Strip Center (<10,000 SF) ↗ 417 217 112 88 +0.15% -0.36% / +1.93% $0.93B $0.94B +$0.01B
Fast Food Restaurant ↗ 373 205 54 114 +0.13% +0.00% / +4.03% $0.84B $0.86B +$0.02B
Strip Center (>10,000 SF) ↗ 356 185 109 62 +0.17% -0.84% / +2.17% $2.38B $2.40B +$0.02B
Other Retail ↗ 894 461 229 204 — — $7.32B $7.54B +$0.22B
All Retail 4,249 2,270 988 991 +0.20% — $15.54B $15.87B +$0.34B
Based on 2026 Certified TCAD Appraisal Export vs 2025 Certified Export. 2026 values are final, not subject to change. Excludes: tax-exempt accounts (X state_cd1 prefix), personal property accounts (N prefix, 3 accounts), and AJR* personal property supplement records (placeholder $1 values in certified data). M (manufactured homes) and O/G/J (other real property, minerals, utilities) are included as real property. Sector tabs (Residential/Multi-Family/Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel/Land/Agricultural/Other) use a Market-Snapshot-specific classification separate from the rest of the site's canonical property-type system, built from real TCAD use codes. "Other" combines the canonical-unclassified O/G/J parcels with any commercial-adjacent parcel whose use code doesn't cleanly sort into Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel. Within a sector, only the top 7 real subtypes by parcel count are shown individually; the rest are combined into one "Other <Sector>" row (real summed parcel counts and dollar totals, but no median/percentile — see that row's tooltip). Median Δ = median parcel-level % change; P25/P75 = 25th/75th percentiles.
Top & Bottom Moving Neighborhoods
Largest increases
FE2 +121.49% 20 parcels
83FEA +35.76% 12 parcels
84SOU +26.60% 10 parcels
83SOU +13.12% 61 parcels
83SEA +11.41% 51 parcels
Largest decreases
83SWE -14.92% 38 parcels
83FNOR -10.55% 52 parcels
48NWE -9.67% 16 parcels
30EAS -4.47% 10 parcels
43NEA -3.42% 14 parcels
Median parcel-level YoY % change by neighborhood_cd, current sector only (4,249 parcels total). Neighborhoods with fewer than 10 qualifying parcels are excluded. Click a neighborhood code to browse its parcels in Search.
Annual Trends — Commercial 2021–2026
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 V 2026
Median Market Value $1,142,600 $1,215,730 $1,414,358 $1,438,465 $1,417,484 $1,511,776
P25 / P75 $517K / $2,780K $553K / $2,939K $667K / $3,374K $661K / $3,471K $649K / $3,347K $698K / $3,450K
Median Asmt. Ratio 48.6% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Median YoY Change base yr +3.3% +9.7% +0.0% -0.8% +6.6%
Parcels in This Category 13,067 13,525 13,637 13,714 13,608 13,524
Commercial medians from county_benchmark table. Assessment ratio = median(assessed ÷ market) across all parcels in this category. A median ratio below ~100% is expected and common at the county level — it reflects the many parcels in this category with an active homestead or other value-limiting cap, not a data issue. YoY Change = median parcel-level year-over-year % change. Partial = AJR data. V = Certified 2025 data.
Net Value Change by Property Type, 2025→2026 ($B)
% view = aggregate value change per sector (total 2026 MV ÷ total 2025 MV − 1) — the same underlying totals as the $ view, just normalized by sector size, so it answers "what's changing fastest proportionally" rather than "which sector holds the most value."